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strong opinions

Here’s technology forecaster Paul Saffo from 2008:

Since the mid-1980s, my mantra for this process [forecasting] is strong opinions, weakly held.” Allow your intuition to guide you to a conclusion, no matter how imperfect — this is the strong opinion” part. Then — and this is the weakly held” part — prove yourself wrong. Engage in creative doubt. Look for information that doesn’t fit, or indicators that point in an entirely different direction.1

It sounds a little similar to theatre director Peter Brook who said of ideas: hold on tightly, let go lightly”. But I very much like Saffo’s statement about attempting to prove one’s self wrong; to find information that doesn’t fit. It seems to involve an ongoing testing of ideas and thoughts, and not allowing them to settle too deeply.


  1. saffo.com/02008/07/26/strong-opinions-weakly-held

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